IR@Bell In Conversation: How Nato Thinks About the Future

What is a futurist and how does foresight analysis help us understand the shape of the future?  And, more specifically, how might these techniques help NATO navigate an increasingly uncertain world? Join us for a wide-ranging conversation with futurist Dr Florence Gaub, visiting Australia as the Jeffrey Grey Distinguished Chair in Defence Studies.

Speaker
Dr Florence Gaub is Director of the Research Division at NATO Defense College in Rome.

She was previously foresight advisor at the General Secretariat of the Council of the EU, special advisor to the EU’s Commissioner on Strategic Foresight Maros Sefcovic, as well as deputy director at the EU Institute for Security Studies. Before that, she was the institute’s resident Middle East analyst, and started her career at the NATO Defense College as Faculty Advisor in the Middle East Faculty. Florence also serves on the World Economic Forum’s Global Future Council on Complex Risks and is Vice-President of the European Forum Alpbach, an Austrian non-profit.

Her career has taken her from conflict and war in the Middle East and North Africa to institutional change and geopolitical shifts. In her work, she focuses on long-term trends, challenges and opportunities, and how to future-proof societies for them. Florence has authored numerous publications, her more recent ones include “Arab Climate Futures”, the EU’s "Global Trends to 2030" report, and “The Cauldron: NATO’s Libya Operation”. Her book “The Future: A Manual” was published in 2023 in German. An English edition is forthcoming.  She holds a PhD from Humboldt University of Berlin, as well as degrees from Sciences Po Paris, the Sorbonne and the University of Munich. She’s a French-German national and served in the French Army as a reserve officer.

Moderator
Dr Ben Day, Department of Interational Relations, Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs.

Image: NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte with the President of the United States of America, Donald J. Trump at the White House via NATO.


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